Willcox Model

Willcox Regional Model

Model History and Timeline

The Groundwater Flow Model of the Willcox Basin, released July 2018, documents the development of the regional-scale Willcox Basin Model. The model includes the major aquifers in the Willcox Basin and extends into portions of the Aravaipa and Douglas Basins. The model was calibrated using non-linear regression (inverse modeling) techniques from 1940 to 2015, and includes more than 2,500 head targets and four regional-scale groundwater discharge (flow) targets. An important part of the model development process included testing alternative conceptual models (ACMs). Several of the most plausible ACMs are presented in the report. To provide transparency, inverse model statistics are presented in the report; in addition, the Department had the model independently peer-review by SSPA (2016). The model was also used to simulated future groundwater flow conditions from 2016 to 2115, using pumping rates assigned during the last year of the calibration (2015). Based on assumptions described in the report, results of six ACM’s are presented and provide plausible ranges of groundwater flow model solutions.

Model Datasets

File Name File Description Linked Files Files/Forms
Model Geodatabases Files Model shapefiles exported from model geodatabases Willcox Model - GIS Data
Model data Files Included are the pre-and-post processing files, as well as the PEST files. The Final Willcox Model Data Files

Model Presentations

Model Reports and Documents

File Name File Description Files/Forms
Willcox Model Report 2018 Willcox Model Report
Willcox Exec Summary Willcox Executive Summary

Questions?

If you have any questions please contact the ADWR Modeling Unit.